King’s Fund chief economist John Appleby said that by measuring against the baseline DoH budget of £103.8 billion for 2010-11 in October’s spending review, it has been calculated that the new inflation forecasts implied a real terms cut of £910 million for the health service by 2014-15. Furthermore, the latest outlined DoH spend figure was shown to be £900m lower than indicated in October.
Using this data, the Institute of Fiscal Studies published a briefing based on the new, lower figure which reveals that NHS spending will stay flat in real terms next year, fall by 0.1% in 2012-13, stay flat in 2013-14, and rise by 0.1% in 2014-15. Consequently, these figures will raise questions about the basis of the government’s NHS spending pledge.
A spokesman for the Treasury asserted that there was no change to the baseline, and that the published figures were simply the DoH’s own estimated out-turn at the end of the financial year. He emphasised the clarity of the government’s commitment to the NHS, saying that spending will continue to rise every year in real terms.
Shadow Health Secretary John Healey said however that the budget was proof of governmental failures to the NHS, and that it was evident that the service will face a real terms cut of £1 billion.
A DoH spokeswoman has asserted that the £900 million underspend would not be lost to the NHS. She said that a proportion of £300 million related to an underspend by the service which the department would have to find out of its own budgets in future years. It was also said that the other £600 million covered a DoH capital budget underspend which did not directly affect the NHS budget.
The revelation of inflation figures may exacerbate the NHS target of achieving £20 billion of savings over the next 4 years. Individually, trusts could look to contribute towards these initiatives by seeking to implement systems that strive for efficiencies whilst working with fewer financial provisions. An Electronic Patient Record (EPR) system like Therapy Manager which provides Heads of Service with the ability to clearly understand their cost of service provision, ensuring cuts are only targeted to the correct areas.
Original Source HSJ
About Pathway Software
Pathway Software (www.pathwaysoftware.com) specialises in the design and development of patient information systems for Allied Health professionals.
Its flagship product, Therapy Manager, is an Electronic Patient Record (EPR) system specifically designed for Therapy Services to provide decision makers with the ability to track and manage clinical activity and analyse cost of care by patient, episode or service. The system also demonstrably reduces administration time and the costs of managing Therapy Services.


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